Five Things That Would Make The CIA/CNN Russia Narrative More Believable
July 14This is not because I believe Vladimir Putin is some kind of blueberry-picking girl scout, and it certainly isn’t because I think the Russian government is unwilling or incapable of meddling in the affairs of other nations to some extent when it suits them. It is simply because I am aware that the US intelligence community lies constantly as a matter of policy, and because I understand how the burden of proof works.
At
this time, I see no reason to espouse any belief system which embraces
as true the assertion that Russia meddled in the 2016 elections in any
meaningful way, or that it presents a unique and urgent threat to the
world which must be aggressively dealt with. But all the establishment
mouthpieces tell me that I must necessarily embrace these assertions as
known, irrefutable fact. Here are five things that would have to change
in order for that to happen:
1. Proof of a hacking conspiracy to elect Trump.
The first step to getting a heretic like myself aboard the Russia hysteria train would be the existence of publicly available evidence of the claims made about election meddling in 2016, which rises to the level required in a post-Iraq invasion world. So far, that burden of proof for Russian hacking allegations has not come anywhere remotely close to being met.
How
much proof would I need to lend my voice to the escalation of tensions
between two nuclear superpowers? Mountains. I personally would settle
for nothing less than hard proof which can be independently verified by
trusted experts like the Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity.
Is
that a big ask? Yes. Yes it is. That’s what happens when government
institutions completely discredit themselves as they did with the false narratives advanced
in the manufacturing of support for the Iraq invasion. You don’t get to
butcher a million Iraqis in a war based on lies, turn around a few
years later and say “We need new cold war escalations with a nuclear
superpower but we can’t prove it because the evidence is secret.” That’s
not a thing. Copious amounts of hard, verifiable proof or GTFO. So far
we have no evidence besides the confident-sounding assertions of
government insiders and their mass media mouthpieces, which is the same
as no evidence.
2. Proof that election meddling actually influenced the election in a meaningful way.
Even
if Russian hackers did exfiltrate Democratic party emails and give them
to WikiLeaks, if it didn’t affect the election, who cares? That’s a
single-day, second-page story at best, meriting nothing beyond a “Hmm,
interesting, turns out Russia tried and failed to influence the US
election,” followed by a shrug and moving on to something that actually
matters.
After
it has been thoroughly proven that Russia meddled in the elections in a
meaningful way, it must then be established that that meddling had an
actual impact on the election results.
3. Some reason to believe Russian election meddling was unwarranted and unacceptable.
The US government, by a very wide margin, interferes in the elections of other countries far, far more than any other government on earth does. The US government’s own data shows that it has deliberately meddled in the elections of 81 foreign governments between 1946 and 2000, including Russia in the nineties. This is public knowledge. A former CIA Director cracked jokes about it on Fox News earlier this year.
If I’m going to abandon my skepticism and accept the Gospel According to Maddow, after meaningful, concrete election interference has been clearly established I’m going to need a very convincing reason to believe that it is somehow wrong or improper for a government to attempt to respond in kind to the undisputed single worst offender of this exact offense. It makes no sense for the United States to actively create an environment in which election interference is something that governments do to one another, and then cry like a spanked child when its election is interfered with by one of the very governments whose elections the US recently meddled in.
This
is nonsense. America being far and away the worst election meddler on
the planet makes it a fair target for election meddling by not just
Russia, but every country in the world. It is very obviously moral and
acceptable for any government on earth to interfere in America’s
elections as long as it remains the world’s worst offender in that area.
In order for Russia to be in the wrong if it interfered in America’s
elections, some very convincing argument I’ve not yet heard will have to
be made to support that case.
4. Proof that the election meddling went beyond simply giving Americans access to information about their government.
If all the Russians did was simply show Americans emails of Democratic Party officials talking to one another and circulate some MSM articles as claimed in the ridiculous Russian troll farm allegations,
that’s nothing to get upset about. If anything, Americans should be
upset that they had to hear about Democratic Party corruption through
the grapevine instead of having light shed on it by the American
officials whose job it is to do so. Complaints about election meddling
is only valid if that election meddling isn’t comprised of truth and facts.
5. A valid reason to believe escalated tensions between two nuclear superpowers are worthwhile.
After it has been proven beyond a reasonable doubt that Russia did indeed meddle in the US elections in a meaningful way, and after it has then been proven beyond a reasonable doubt that Russia actually influenced election results in a significant way, and after the case has been clearly made that it was bad and wrong for Russia to do this instead of fair and reasonable, and after it has been clearly proven that the election meddling went beyond simply telling Americans the truth about their government, the question then becomes what, if anything, should be done about it?
If you look at the actions that this administration has taken over the last year and a half, the answer to that question appears to be harsh sanctions, NATO expansionism, selling arms to Ukraine, throwing out diplomats, increasing military presence along Russia’s border, a Nuclear Posture Review which is much more aggressive toward Russia, repeatedly bombing Syria, and just generally creating more and more opportunities for something to go catastrophically wrong with one of the two nations’ aging, outdated nuclear arsenals, setting off a chain of events from which there is no turning back and no surviving.
And the pundits and politicians keep pushing for more and more escalations, at this very moment braying with one voice that Trump must aggressively confront Putin about Mueller’s indictments or withdraw from the peace talks. But is it worth it? Is it worth risking the life of every terrestrial organism to, what? What specifically would be gained that makes increasing the risk of nuclear catastrophe worthwhile? Making sure nobody interferes in America’s fake elections? I’d need to see a very clear and specific case made, with a ‘pros’ and ‘cons’ list and “THE POTENTIAL DEATH OF LITERALLY EVERYTHING” written in big red letters at the top of the ‘cons’ column.
Rallying
the world to cut off Russia from the world stage and cripple its
economy has been been a goal of the US power establishment since the
collapse of the Soviet Union, so there’s no reason to believe that even
the people who are making the claims against Russia actually believe
them. The goal is crippling Russia to handicap China,
and ultimately to shore up global hegemony for the US-centralized
empire by preventing the rise of any rival superpowers. The sociopathic
alliance of plutocrats and intelligence/defense agencies who control
that empire are willing to threaten nuclear confrontation in order to
ensure their continued dominance. All of their actions against Russia
since 2016 have had everything to do with establishing long-term
planetary dominance and nothing whatsoever to do with election meddling.
Those five things would need to happen before I’d be willing to jump aboard the “Russia! Russia!” train. Until then I’ll just keep pointing to the total lack of evidence and how very, very far the CIA/CNN Russia narrative is from credibility.
Those five things would need to happen before I’d be willing to jump aboard the “Russia! Russia!” train. Until then I’ll just keep pointing to the total lack of evidence and how very, very far the CIA/CNN Russia narrative is from credibility.
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