Saturday, January 21, 2017

Trump Inaugurated: A Look Back At The Experts' Predictions

Chris Wallace, Fox News: "Let me ask you a couple of questions. How should Republicans handle Donald Trump?"

Karl Rove, Republican Strategist: "Ignore him. Look, he is completely off the base. . . . This guy is not a serious candidate."

-----Fox News, Sunday, June 21, 2015

"Jeb Bush, who might be president, and Donald Trump, who won't be president, competing for media oxygen, and well, it was a contest."

-----Howard Kurtz, host, Fox News' MediaBuzz, June 21, 2015

"Anyone who takes [Trump] seriously should really, really, really be ashamed."

-----Michelle Bernard, president of the Bernard Center for Women, MSNBC's Hardball with Chris Matthews, June 23, 2015

"Donald Trump will not be the Republican nominee. There's absolutely no way - his unfavorables are above 60%."

-----Lisa Booth, Republican Strategist, CNN's New Day, July 4, 2015

"Let's start with this: Donald Trump is not going to be the Republican presidential nominee in 2016."

-----Chris Cillizza, The Washington Post, July 12, 2015

"I don't think Donald Trump is going to be the nominee of the Republican Party."

-----Rich Galen, Republican strategist, CNN's Anderson Cooper 360, July 15, 2015

"Trump's support will probably fade. Or at least, given his high unfavorable ratings, it will plateau, and other candidates will surpass him as the rest of the field consolidates."

-----Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, July 20, 2015

"The Donald Trump candidacy is almost over. Don't be fooled by Trump's double-digit lead in a new poll:  He is not going to win . . . Donald Trump is not running a real campaign . . . Soon, the bolder members of the field will follow Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush in making harder and more decisive strokes against him. Unlike Trump, they'll use real oppo, tested and targeted messages - ads built not just to cut, but to kill. They'll break his operational tempo, get inside his OODA loop, and turn his circus into a crispy ruin. It's what real campaigns do."

-----Rick Wilson, Republican message and media strategist, Politico, July 22, 2015

"Trump's unfavorable ratings are extraordinarily high. So this is not a popular person. And people tend, in the end, to vote for people they like."

-----Gerald Seib, Washington bureau chief of the Wall Street Journal, CBS News' Face the Nation, July 26, 2015

"Donald Trump will not be the Republican nominee, in almost - almost all certainty."

-----John Heilemann, co-managing editor of Bloomberg Politics, CBS News' Face the Nation, July 26, 2015

"At the end of the day, [Trump] is not going to be the Republican nominee."

-----Sara Fagen, Republican strategist and former political director for President George W. Bush, NBC News' Meet the Press, July 26, 2015

"I think Trump is not going to win the nomination."

-----Ron Fournier, senior political columnist for National Journal, NBC News' Meet the Press, July 26, 2015

John Brabender, Republican political Consultant: "Donald Trump is not going to be the nominee. I'm telling you that right now. But . . . ."

Don Lemon, Host:  "How do you say that?"

Brabender:  "He's just not going to be. My experience of doing this for 30 years. I'm just telling you he's not going to be the nominee."

-----CNN Tonight, August 3, 2015

"Donald Trump is doing well now, but I rather suspect the air will come out of that balloon at some point in time. I don't know when, I don't know how, but it's very difficult to imagine him being the Republican nominee for president."

-----Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, CNN's World Right Now with Hala Gorani, August 5, 2015

"Trump's campaign will fail by one means or another . . . . If you want absurd specificity, I recently estimated Trump's chance of becoming the GOP nominee at 2 percent."

-----Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, August 6, 2015

"Let me go on record saying this right now: Donald Trump will not be our next president. He won't even be the GOP nominee. And I know, I know: We've underestimated him before. But still."

-----Amber Phillips, The Washington Post, August 10, 2015

"Our emphatic prediction is simply that Trump will not win the nomination. It's not even clear that he's trying to do so."

-----Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, August 11, 2015

"Virtually all the political prognosticators are united on one point: Donald Trump's surge is fascinating, but of course he won't be the Republican nominee."

-----Howard Kurtz, host Fox News' Media Buzz, August 6, 2015

"Whomever is going to be the eventual nominee . . . it's not going to be Donald Trump."

-----Robert George, editorial board member of the New York Daily News, MSNBC's Up with Steve Kornacki, August 16, 2015

"I do think that Trump will hit a ceiling . . . So, at the end of the day, I don't believe that Trump will be the nominee.

-----Mindy Finn, Republican political consultant, CNN Newsroom, August 18, 2015

"[Trump is] here to stay for a while, maybe through a few primaries. But he is not going to be the nominee . . . When the field narrows, he won't go very far."

-----Charlie Black, NBC News' Meet the Press, August 23, 2015

"Donald Trump, who is not going to be the nominee . . . "

-----Alex Castellanos, Republican presidential campaign veteran, NBC News' Meet the Press, August 23, 2015

"I'm going to show you Donald Trump will not be the nominee of the Republican Party!"

-----Adolfo Franco, Adolfo Franco, Republican strategist, MSNBC's Hardball with Chris Matthews, August 28, 2015

"I am sure Donald Trump will not be our party nominee."

----- Adolfo Franco, MSNBC's Up with Steve Kornacki, August 30, 2015

""[It] won't happen, won't happen. I mean, Trump has . . . I think he's hit a ceiling of about 30 percent . . . We're at peak Trump. Of course, I said this about six weeks ago.  . . . Maybe peak Trump will last for another, two, three weeks, but I don't think so . . . . I do not believe [Trump] can be the nominee."

-----William Kristol, editor of the Weekly Standard, ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulus, September 6, 2015

"Last week's debate could mark the leveling off of Trump's rise and the beginning of his deflation."

 -----Thomas Fitzgerald, politics writer, The Philadelphia Inquirer, September 20, 2015

"He is getting boring. That's what destroys Trump.  . . I will be stunned if the next time you and I sit down at this table he still has the numbers that he has now."

-----Ian Bremmer, political scientist, PBS's Charlie Rose, September 22, 2015

"The entire commentariat is going to feel a little silly when Marco Rubio wins every Republican primary."

-----Ross Douthat, columnist for The New York Times, Twitter, September 25, 2015

“If you bother to read some of the serious analysis of Trump’s support, you realize that it’s a very fragile thing and highly unlikely to deliver what he needs in the crucial first phase of the primaries.”

-----Niall Ferguson, senior fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, January 2016 [How the Davos Pundits Got it Wrong: President Clinton, Anyone?"Bloomberg Politics, January 15, 2017]

“By the time we get to March-April, it’s all over. I’m really looking forward to it: Trump’s humiliation. Bring it on.”

-----Niall Ferguson, at a 2016 panel co-hosted by Bloomberg.[How the Davos Pundits Got it Wrong: President Clinton, Anyone?"Bloomberg Politics, January 15, 2017]

 “It doesn’t matter who the Republicans put up. Hillary will win.”

-----Martin Sorrell, the chief executive officer of WPP Plc, January 2016 [How the Davos Pundits Got it Wrong: President Clinton, Anyone?"Bloomberg Politics, January 15, 2017]

"She [Clinton] has everything under control."

-----Michelle Goldberg, Slate, September 27, 2016

"Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an Electoral College victory."

-----Natalie Jackson, Senior Polling Editor, Huffington Post, November 7, 2016

"Hillary Rodham Clinton will become the first woman to win the presidency tomorrow, decisively defeating Donald Trump in no small part due to unprecedented Latino turnout."

-----Cliston Brown, The Observer, November 7, 2016

"Robert Reich: Don’t worry, Hillary Clinton will win the election Reich explains why there's no worry to worry (sic) about Tuesday night"

-----Don Hazen Alternet, November 8, 2016

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Bulletin: Legalienate To Boycott Inauguration!

The national and international staff of Legalienate, a blog more famous than the NY Times , Fox TV, SlimeFeed, Bogus Newz and ScumBook announced its boycott of the Trump inauguration.
Spokeperson Frank Scott said:

"in keeping with our long cherished and sacred policies and on a moral  par with the U.S. Constitution, the Ten Commandments and our even more sacredly cherished Hypocritic Oath, as in all other inaugurations dating from George Washington, our dedicated staff members, born, unborn, zygote, fetus or whatever, will not attend in protest against political and media hacks and in order to get some free publicity like all the other nobodies, nothings, losers and pretenders who are claiming fame by not attending a public spectacle they were never invited to either."

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Psycho-Social Breakdown

“To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.” – Bucky Fuller

America’s ruling powers have maintained control by utilizing the divide and conquer strategy of identitarianism. Avoiding democracy by keeping people in real or imagined minorities has worked well, but there are times when that ruling force needs to unify people in order to keep its dominance and in those circumstances what works best is the outside menace that threatens “all of us ”. In the recent past it was an alleged international communist conspiracy, centered in the Soviet Union. When that ended more than twenty years ago, the terrorist menace presented itself as for the first time America experienced a threat within its own borders as a result of murderous policies acted out elsewhere. While that real fear has been fully exploited and is at least based on a material rather than mentally created reality, the present endangered status of our ruling oligarchy has brought about a new alleged menace for public consumption, this time from a capitalist Russia and embodied in Vladimir Putin.

An individual leader always plays an important role in the demonology productions of our consciousness controllers, who may have suffered a loss by killing Osama bin laden. The transformation of a Russian who played a major role in bringing his country back from near economic disaster to a position of global leadership into an alleged fiendish menace to all that Americans hold dear has been a dangerous success, so far.

Supposed liberals, progressives, and some who call themselves leftists have been swept up in a reactionary frenzy that makes past conservative foaming-at-the-mouth anti communism seem almost benign by comparison. Charges of Russian interference with an already corrupt electoral system entirely dependent on funding by the richest people in America have been swallowed by people who consider themselves more knowledgeable than those fed up with that system, however confused they might be about what changing it actually means. If Russia doesn’t listen in on official American communications as America listens in on those of the entire world, it would not only be led by but also populated by incompetents on a par with some of the think-from-the-armpits types in our government. The USA has not only spied on but also meddled in foreign elections whenever it deemed the outcomes not conducive to its dominant role in the world. And American computerized communications are regularly spied upon by some of its alleged allies, most especially Israel. The shocked reactions to learning that others do what we do is in keeping with the psychosis that rationalizes present forms of colonialism, mass murder of foreigners and the destruction of nations deemed problematic to the supposed master race of self chosen people cult. But when alleged critics of that cult calling themselves not only liberal but also leftist become willing believers in its worst created fantasies, America and its people are threatened as never before.

A lynch mob composed of supposedly progressive liberals is no different from a lynch mob composed of supposedly reactionary conservatives. Whether fueled by wine, cheese and the New York Times or pretzels, beer and Fox TV, it is a lynch mob, and the nation is presently in danger of becoming a manipulated mob of uninformed, misinformed, bigotry enacting lynch mobs engaging in righteous psycho-neurotic behavior patterns that get closer to psychotic violence every day.

The victory of Trump in the election triggered an increase in the revived cold war behavior as a corrupt electoral system was suddenly discovered to be unfair when someone who was not supposed to win actually did win and bring on this new chapter of mental maladjustment bordering on physical breakdown. It has brought to the surface long suppressed but very American hate tendencies in the individual blame game that serves as cover for the social crimes of capital.

The sordid celebrity gossip reporting that passes for political analysis has reached depths to shock thoughtful populations here and in other countries that may live in fear of what total breakdown could mean for the rest of the world. Irrational bursts of brainlessness emanating from the professional servants of power in our politics and media that used to be occasional are becoming everyday reality. The newly elected president, who may be the most open and least sneaky of the dimwitted breed in his unabashed Americanism of supremacy, has set off explosions in the national oligarchs reflecting their mortal fears of losing control. It has taken a billionaire, not a revolutionary, to scare the hell out of the billionaires who own the nation. Go figure? But the danger of a lone nutcase losing it while in possession of a gun, knife or bomb is multiplied hundreds of millions of times when the nut is a class in possession of enough money and weaponry to destroy much of the civilized world. When a rich, egotistical, arrogant and often ignorant loudmouth begins to sound like the most rational voice in a debate, those being made to pay for the argument need to take action for sanity before the nut-cult ends all possibility of not only thought or logic but life itself.

Headlines in publications supposedly dispensing news sell claims about Trump and Putin that embarrass gossip hustlers. Enormous attention is given a slur by a professional actress that allegedly brings tears to the eyes of well meaning if ignorantly gullible listeners, claiming that Trump trashed a physically disabled person .Simple investigation would find that he used the very same movements to trash political opponents whose only disability might be mental and not visible to the naked eye or empty mind. The need of our oligarchs to make this unpredictable individual weak if not feeble even before he takes office has led to speculation of his being impeached or possibly murdered, all of which finds previously rational types clucking in agreement while accepting claims of his being the source of all the ugliness at the core of national policies which date back not just to previous administrations but to the founding of the nation. All of this individual bashing neglects the enormous social power and its murderous affect on the world, especially the middle east, being acted out every day regardless of which party clown, oaf, servant or competent professional serves as CEO of our corporate warfare state of social welfare for the rich and individual sink or swim for the rest.

An obsolete model based on the acquisition of private profits in a market as the primary motivation of life itself has been criticized almost since the moment it became evident to thinkers who could see beyond the end of their noses. We are dealing with a system in danger of not only further corrupting life but possibly ending it for humanity if it is allowed to continue under control of minority oligarchs and their servants. Concentration on individuals exclusive of the social forces they serve is long past tolerable for humanity and only profitable for a tiny population even if ultimately damaging even for them. But nonsense about one or another president or ceo that allows the corporation to continue its business is worse than criminally ignorant. It is racially stupid, as in threatening all of humanity and not just the relative handful buying into the master race of self chosen leaders that passes for western capital’s american centered domination of the globe. Different political leaders may be nice, wonderful, rotten, diseased or whatever else, but the system ruining the planet is the problem, not some individual’s talent, personality or lack of both. It is capitalism that is obsolete and we need a new social model . Continued tolerance of the malevolent ignorance being forced on us by consciousness control is a critical part of our problem and we need to stop it, before it makes us, obsolete.